講座主題：Does it pay to trade protection: The Unintended Consequences of Antidumping

主講嘉賓：張燕，上海财經大學經濟學院教授

時間：2023年11月30日（周四）10:30-12:00

地點：伟德平台怎么样沙河校區二教 207

主辦：伟德平台怎么样

緻謝: 本講座獲得2023年伟德平台怎么样專題學術講座資助計劃支持

講座内容：

Recent studies have shown that trade liberalization is associated with an increase in crime and mortality rates. However, this paper argues that trade protection, which is often seen as a solution to these problems, can actually make them worse. Using a shift-share design, we capture the long-term overall effect of antidumping (AD) protection by examining both direct and downstream effects. We find robust evidence that U.S. counties with more downstream AD exposure experienced higher crime rates and more “deaths of despair”. In contrast, counties’ direct AD exposure did not have any significant effect. Deterioration of local labor markets and theworsening of workers’ mental health are two transmission channels for these detrimental effects.We further examine the cost of correcting the consequences of crime and mortality, and find that even complementary job markets and better unemployment insurance only partly alleviate these consequences, but cannot fundamentally reverse this situation. Overall, the losses of trade protection outweigh the gains, and trade protection is only one disaster after another in terms of the crime and mortality consequences.

嘉賓簡介：

張燕，上海财經大學經濟學院教授、博士生導師，香港大學經濟學博士。主要研究領域為國際貿易。在國際一流經濟學期刊《Journal of International Economics》、《Journal of Comparative Economics》、《Canadian Journal of Economics》等發表論文十多篇。先後獲得安子介國際貿易研究獎、上海市第十五屆哲學社會科學優秀成果獎項等。